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Analysis of the new phase of Rohinya cleansing and its deep implications for Burma

Dear Friends,

A journalist asked me a few questions to get soundbites and quotes. I turned them into a more comprehensive interview. Thought this may serve as a succint backgrounder if you are interested in the contextual view of the current annihilation phase of the Rohingya genocide.

Why do you as a Buddhist and Burmese support Rohingys when your whole country, the military, the NLD and the society, hate and want to evict them as a group? Historical evidence clearly indicates today's Rakhine coastal region to be an ethnically and religiously diverse shared homeland for both Rakhine and Rohingya for centuries. This is also the region that had far greater historical interaction and inter-mingling with the Bay of Bengal-based communities of present-day east coast of India, Bangladesh (East Bengal) than the central plains of Burma, where today's dominant, ruling group, the Burmese, have been based. I therefore support unequivocally the right of return for Rohingya people - close to a million by now - whom the Burmese have purged since the first army-organized large scale operation in 1978. There are more official reasons which compel me to support the Rohingyas and their cry to live in Northern Rakhine. First, the governments of Burma, including the senior most leaders of the Burma Armed Forces embraced officially and verifiably Rohingya people as one of the ethnic minorities of the Union of Burma. Second, Rohingyas are like any other ethnic minorities along Burma's porous and long borders with China, India, Thailand and Bangladesh, whose presence and identities predate the emergence of present-day Burma. Burma as we know it is a colonial product of negotiations amongst the Burmese nationalists, ethnic minority leaders and the British colonials, and its borders were drawn artificially, splitting up these borderlands communities into members or citizens of new nation-states. As early as 1950's the Burmese leaders, both civilians and military, acknowledge the presence and adjustable identities these borderlands people. I know this because my own late great-uncle was a senior commander stationed in Rakhine, who was Deputy Chief of the predominantly Rohingya administrative district named Mayu District, after Mayu River in Northern Rakhine. In addition, there are over 1,3 million Rohingyas - by Burma's official, conservative estimate - that continue to live in what you may call 'vast open prisons' where the ethnic cleansing is taking place. The Burmese government of ex-general Thein Sein proposed to the visiting UNHCR head in August 2012 to effectively evict them and transmigrate them to other countries, with UN financing. UN rejected the proposal on grounds that Rohingyas are not refugees. They are the country's people, born and bred there, and it is the Burmese state's responsibility to look after them. Even without discussing the genocidal acts committed by the Burmese regime, the fact that it refuses categorically to register the birth of every single Rohingya new born makes Burma a major violator of international law, for instance, the Child Right Convention, which entitles all new-born infants, the right to a nationality. My country is verifiably in the wrong, in terms of facts and international law, not to mention on grounds of Buddhist principles of compassion and human kindness.

​ Is Aung San Suu Kyi ignoring the plight of the Rohingyas? Aung San Suu Kyi is not simply ignoring or lukewarm about the plight of Rohingyas. She is personally complicit and now officially guilty in making their plight worse by the day. She is reportedly very "racist" towards the Muslims, and she unilaterally made the decision to NOT allow any Muslim MP in her party during the 2015 election , effectively pandering to the majoritarian anti-Muslim electorate. She shares the Burmese generals' concern about the growth of Muslim population and she shares their military's institutionalized view that Rohingyas are illegals or just colonial era migrants with no root in the country. By cleansing her now nominally ruling NLD of all Muslim MP candidates and representatives, she has practically aligned herself with the army, her key partner. Why is there so much majoritarian racism towards Rohingyas and Muslims? It is important to note that the ground-swell of Islamophobia is to a large extent the outcome of decades of Myanmar military's anti-Muslim propaganda. The generals turned racists and purged the armed forces of Muslims at all levels. and they turned sight on to the society at large. Beyond communal prejudices between Buddhists and Muslims, the hatred, fear of Muslims among the majority Burmese, as well as other non-Rohingya non-Muslim minorities is just unprecedented. This anti-Rohingya and anti-Muslim popular hatred is akin to Nazi Germany's popular and official anti-Jew sentiments. That is why, Aung San Suu Kyi, pandering to the military and popular racism towards Rohingyas is extremely troubling. Have the international communities not actually created enough pressure on Myanmar to treat the Rohingyas fairly? The mythical international community has known the persecution of the Rohingyas for decades - in fact since 1970's. There is plenty of evidence and documentation from the Rohingyas, from human rights organizations such as Amnesty International, Human Rights, embassy reports, UN reports, etc. But the UN has failed to take any real and concrete measures or actions to stop a member state violating blatantly all major international human rights laws and treaties - like the Rome Statute Article 6 (Genocide Convention of 1948), Child Right Convention, CEDAW. The failure of the UN and the failure of the Burmese leaders to address the needs of the ROhingya to lead a peaceful normal productive community life in their own homeland of N. Rakhine is going to have major negative ramifications for Burma, region and the world. In an otherwise fractured Islamic world, Rohingya genocide is the one issue that anger 1.7 billion Muslims around the world. That anger will in due course translate into radical actions to end the Rohingyas' plight. =======================

​FRIDAY'S PROTESTS IN DHAKA, BANGLADESH AGAINST THE ROHINGYA GENOCIDE. (Similarly large protests were held in Bangkok, Jakarta and Kuala Lumpur).

This is an overview of what I think is happening and what is in store for Burma.

Myanmar's persecution of the Rohingyas unites ALL MUSLIM COMMUNITIES unlike any other issue. In due course, this ​justified outrage among the Muslim communities around the world - and outrage at the failings of Western regimes and the UN System - will morph into radical actions, support and calls for Jihad in Burma - in the real sense.

Burma has more than enough on its plate. When - not if - the GRASSROOTS rage among Muslims of the world explodes that will spell deep troubles for the Burmese society, economy and politics.

The military is on a trajectory that will prove self-fulfilling sooner rather than later.

Here is what I think of the leadership of Aung San Suu Kyi and Min Aung Hlaing. (When I was trying to puncture the sanctions regime and re-engage the world in Burma I worked with a couple of young colonels. One of them has become Min Aung Hlaing's right hand, and is tipped to be 'the next commander in chief' after Min Aung Hlaing. Knowing these military men - and myself a military officers' corp admit as a young man, I have little confidence in the capacity of these one-dimensional men to lead the country out of the decades of mess, previous generations of politicians and generals have created.

Aung San Suu Kyi and Min Aung Hlaing have put the country on a slippery slope of Balkanization, pr


oxy wars, and Jihadist battles. They are doing so, out of their racist delusions, miscalculations, and illusions of power and grandeur. Min Aung Hlaing and genocidal generals thought they were brilliant in continuing on with the Tatmadaw's 4-decades of Rohingya Genocide. The radicalized Rohingya youth attacked a few Burmese border posts. The Tatmadaw thought it was godsend. 1) So, they pounced on the Rohingya. The generals attempted to wipe out as many Rohingya villages and communities as possible. 2) Their propaganda geniuses - like Ye Htut, Zaw Htay, etc. - gleefully framed the Rohingya attackers as "Jihadists" "ISIS-style fighters" "militants" "extremists", and in short, "TERRORISTS". They didn't even bother with the Rakhine fall-guy option and 'communal conflict' or "sectarian violence" spins. They were getting in on for the slaughter themselves. 3) Oops, the impact of their attacks on the Rohingya got caught on satellite cameras. They were forced to admit that the Air Force was involved in the ethnic cleansing by flying gunship helicopters. 4) When world cries foul, Min Aung Hlaing and his now desperate spinmasters resorted to their de fault spin: "skyful of lies" (fabricated and fake stories of rape, killings, etc.) 5) Unable to conceal their genocidal deeds on the ground from the impact-dectors up the Northern Rakhine sky, Min Aung Hlaing ordered his men to seal off the genocidal fields of N. Rakhine while blocking aid to 100,000 Rohingyas. 6) Honey-tongued but deceitful, Min Aung Hlaing and team decided to let a small group of western diplomats to go and assess the situation, while emptying vast areas of any Rohingya who might speak to the diplomat-investigators. (Rohingyas found ways to appear on the route of the visiting dip delegation!) 7) The lies, denials and fabrications by Min Aung Hlaing and his spinmasters are such that no-body in their right mind buys any of the official spins. 8) Meanwhile, the Rohingya activists have captured and disseminated worldwide all the images of crimes - all recorded on smart-phones - committed by Min Aung Hlaing and his men. 9) Unlike previous waves of violence, Rohingya activists were better prepared. Smart-phones, social media, etc. enable them to let the world witness the GENOCIDE; it has been going on since 1978. 10) Min Aung Hlaing and his racist genocidal deputies miscalculated the response from the ASEAN and South Asia. With thousands of Muslims angrily taking to the streets on Friday in Dhaka, Chittagong (right next to Western Burma), Jakarata, Bangkok, and Kuala Lumpur, and Rohingya news on the front pages of national newspaper, the discourse around Rohingyas have shifted irreversibly: A) Myanmar is indeed engaged in genocide AND ethnic cleansing of the Rohingya Muslims; B) Aung San Suu Kyi is no longer seen as a force for good, but rather the most important accomplice in genocide, with the Myanmar military leaders being the main genocidal perpetrators; C) Rohingyas feel energized and inspired by the outpouring of international solidarity, especially and most importantly from fellow Muslims in Asia and beyond; and D) Malaysia has broken ASEAN's tradition of not condeming another country's "internal affairs". I think both Suu Kyi and Min Aung Hlaing leaderships are putting the country at grave risk of furture instability, violence and a definitely a very probably site for Jihadist battles. The country is already a proxy theatre for US-led western forces and China, with the un-finished civil war along very strategic borders, making the entire country vulnerable to the Great Power Games. With so many fronts being opened, and with completely un-impressive ability to even fight the information war in the social media and conventional media vis-a-vis human rights and Rohingya activists, the generals will in due course lose their own plot. They have bitten off more than they could chew. But, the public in Burma will pay for the racist, stupid leadership of both Aung San Suu Kyi and General Min Aung Hlaing.

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