Conversations on genocide: future consequences of the war in Iran
- Genocide Watch
- 4 hours ago
- 1 min read
March 30, 2026
In this episode of Conversations on Genocide, Beth is joined by Michał Jagielski, Senior Iran and Central Asia Team Leader at Genocide Watch, to discuss his recent published Genocide Alert: Future Consequences of the War in Iran. Michał provides updates on the contradictory messaging from US officials about the war's objectives and analyzes three possible outcomes: an IRGC military takeover, complete regime change, or regime survival. All scenarios present significant dangers to the civilian population through increased executions, sanctions, displacement, and humanitarian crisis. The conversation highlights how the US, Israel, Iran, and all U.N. member states have the responsibility to protect Iranian civilians and do everything possible to end this war--and how you can take action.
Michał Jagielski is a recent graduate of Lund University in Sweden, where he majored in Middle Eastern Studies, defending his master’s thesis on the Egyptian Muslim Brotherhood’s framing strategies in exile. Previously he received his bachelor's degree in Iranian Studies from the University of Warsaw, Poland. Michał has experience working for NGOs and INGOs where he participated in projects focusing on humanitarian aid, advocacy and human rights protection.
At Genocide Watch he is co-leader of the Sudan and North-Central Africa Team and leader of the Central Asia Team. He is also a member of the Research Division and Alliance Division and the Middle East and North Africa, and Central Africa Teams.
His current research interests include the remnants of colonial mentality in international law and geo-politics, political persecution, state building and resolving generational traumas and prejudices.
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